Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.
I think it's much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers which might be wrong.
The whole future lies in uncertainty: live immediately.
In the strict formulation of the law of causality - if we know the present, we can calculate the future - it is not the conclusion that is wrong but the premise.
Markets that don't exist can't be analyzed.
A startup is a human institution designed to create a new product or service under conditions of extreme uncertainty.
The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history.
Planning is guessing. Give up on the illusion that you can predict the future.