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"The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future."

— Daniel Kahneman

The Illusion That We Understand The Past Fosters Overconfidence In Our Ability T

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

— Daniel Kahneman
From Thinking, Fast and Slow
humility overconfidence prediction

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Thinking, Fast and Slow, Part 3

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.
— Daniel Kahneman
from Thinking, Fast and Slow
A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth.
— Daniel Kahneman
from Thinking, Fast and Slow
Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.
— Daniel Kahneman
from Thinking, Fast and Slow
View all quotes by Daniel Kahneman →
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